Future-Proofing Data: Assessing the Feasibility of Post-Quantum Cryptographic Algorithms to Mitigate ‘Harvest Now, Decrypt Later’ Attacks

Abayomi Titilola Olutimehin *

Royal Holloway University of London, Egham, Surrey, United Kingdom.

Sunday Abayomi Joseph

Ashland University, 401 College Avenue, Ashland, OH 44805, United States of America.

Adekunbi Justina Ajayi

Obafemi Awolowo University, PMB 013, Ile-Ife, Osun State, Nigeria.

Olufunke Cynthia Metibemu

Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria, Iworoko Road, PMB 5363, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria.

Adebayo Yusuf Balogun

University of Tampa, 401 W Kennedy Blvd, Tampa, FL 33606, United States of America.

Oluwaseun Oladeji Olaniyi

University of the Cumberlands, 104 Maple Drive, Williamsburg, KY 40769, United States of America.

*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.


Abstract

This study evaluates the feasibility of post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) algorithms in mitigating "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" (HNDL) attacks as quantum computing advances threaten classical encryption. Using datasets from the NIST Post-Quantum Cryptography Project, Deloitte’s PQC Adoption Survey, and IBM & Google Quantum Roadmaps, the study applied statistical modeling, Monte Carlo simulations, and ARIMA forecasting to assess PQC security resilience, adoption readiness, and quantum decryption feasibility. The findings indicate that CRYSTALS-Kyber and CRYSTALS-Dilithium outperform RSA-2048 and ECC-256 in quantum resistance, with attack cost thresholds exceeding 1.91×10101.91 \times 10^{10}1.91×1010 compared to 2.24×1082.24 \times 10^82.24×108 for RSA-2048. Industry adoption varies, with government PQC implementation at 79%, finance at 67%, and healthcare lagging at 48%. Quantum decryption probability remains negligible until 2029 but rises to 78.6% by 2033. This study addresses the critical challenge of post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) adoption amid growing quantum threats, particularly "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" (HNDL) attacks. By evaluating PQC security resilience, industry adoption, and quantum decryption feasibility, the findings provide strategic insights for policymakers and cybersecurity experts. Highlighting the vulnerabilities of CRYSTALS-Kyber to side-channel attacks, this research underscores the need for continuous cryptanalysis, hybrid encryption models, and adaptive security frameworks to future-proof data.Organizations must accelerate PQC adoption, integrate hybrid cryptographic models, enforce regulatory policies, and sustain cryptanalysis efforts to ensure long-term security.

Keywords: Post-quantum cryptography, quantum decryption risk, cryptographic resilience, hybrid encryption transition, quantum security compliance


How to Cite

Abayomi Titilola Olutimehin, Sunday Abayomi Joseph, Adekunbi Justina Ajayi, Olufunke Cynthia Metibemu, Adebayo Yusuf Balogun, and Oluwaseun Oladeji Olaniyi. 2025. “Future-Proofing Data: Assessing the Feasibility of Post-Quantum Cryptographic Algorithms to Mitigate ‘Harvest Now, Decrypt Later’ Attacks”. Archives of Current Research International 25 (3):60–80. https://doi.org/10.9734/acri/2025/v25i31098.